2025 NFL Football Futures Report

Who do the betting markets say is going to win the Super Bowl this year?

THE STRAIGHT BET
2025 NFL Football Futures Report

The NFL season kicks off tonight wth the Eagles looking to start a title defense against the Cowboys. There will be a bunch of sharp action, Needs, parlay killers and more over the next few months, but, first, lets take a look at the Futures markets.

In this report, we’ll go through the different NFL markets. We’ll take a look at where the sharps and the public are concentrating their action. We’ll look at the Super Bowl, Conference Title, Division Title, Individual Awards, and Team Total markets.

We’ll have weekly content and deep dives all over our Twitter and Instagram throughout the year.

I’ll be using the same prediction market approach on NFL Futures as with college futures. It’s outlined here (under “Action Plan”), but, a future newsletter will go more into depth.

I hope you find this useful in your wagering. Best of luck!

SUPER BOWL MARKET

The professional bettors (sharps) are betting on:
🏈 Packers +1200
🏈 Ravens +600

The public is on:
🏈 Bills +600
🏈 Eagles +700
🏈 Lions +1400
🏈 Ravens +600

The largest liabilities are (in order) are the Giants, Steelers, Browns, Cowboys, Raiders, Patriots, Saints and Broncos. The Lions, Bengals, Bills, 49ers, and Packers are borderline, but good.

Many teams are good outcomes, but, the one with the most realistic shot are the Ravens, Bills, Eagles, and Chiefs.

CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP MARKETS

AFC

The professional bettors (sharps) are betting on:
🏈 Ravens +330

The public is on:
🏈 Bills +330
🏈 Broncos +1110
🏈 Chiefs +400
🏈 Ravens +330

The highest liabilities are (in order) the Browns, Broncos, Steelers, Raiders, and Jets. The Patriots are borderline, but good.

Many teams are good outcomes, but, the ones with the most realistic shot are the Bills, Ravens, Chiefs, Bengals, and Chargers.

NFC

The professional bettors (sharps) are betting on:
🏈 Packers +600

The public is on:
🏈 Bears +2500
🏈 Commanders +900
🏈 Lions +650

The highest liabilities are (in order) the Cardinals, Panthers, and Giants. The Cowboys, Rams, Vikings, and Bears are borderline, but good.

Many teams are good outcomes, but the ones with the most realistic shot are the Eagles, Packers, Lions, 49ers, and Commanders.

DIVISIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP MARKETS

AFC EAST

The professional bettors (sharps) are betting on::
🏈 Nothing Notable

The public is on:
🏈 Nothing Notable

There are no liabilities.

AFC NORTH

The professional bettors (sharps) are betting on::
🏈 Nothing Notable

The public is on:
🏈 Nothing Notable

The highest liabilities are (in order) the Browns and Steelers.

AFC SOUTH

The professional bettors (sharps) are betting on::
🏈 Nothing Notable

The public is on:
🏈 Nothing Notable

There are no liabilities.

AFC WEST

The professional bettors (sharps) are betting on::
🏈 Nothing Notable

The public is on:
🏈 Broncos +310

The highest liabilities are (in order) the Raiders and Broncos.

NFC EAST

The professional bettors (sharps) are betting on::
🏈 Nothing Notable

The public is on:
🏈 Nothing Notable

The highest liabilities are (in order) the Giants and Cowboys.

NFC NORTH

The professional bettors (sharps) are betting on::
🏈 Lions +145

The public is on:
🏈 Nothing Notable

The only liability is the Bears.

NFC SOUTH

The professional bettors (sharps) are betting on::
🏈 Nothing Notable

The public is on:
🏈 Buccaneers -110

There are no liabilities.

NFC WEST

The professional bettors (sharps) are betting on::
🏈 49ers +145

The public is on:
🏈 Nothing Notable

The highest liabilities are (in order) the Seahawks and Cardinals.

NFL MVP MARKET

The professional bettors (sharps) are betting on::
🏈 Nothing Notable

The public is on:
🏈 Joe Burrow (Bengals) +600

The highest liability is JJ McCarthy (Vikings). Joe Burrow (Bengals), Jalen Hurts (Eagles), and Justin Herbert (Chargers) are also liabilities. Bo Nix (Broncos), Aaron Rodgers (Steelers), Jordan Love (Packers), and Saquon Barkley (Eagles) are borderline, but good.

Many other players are good outcomes, but those with the best shot are Lamar Jackson (Ravens), Josh Allen (Bills), Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs), and Jayden Daniels (Commanders).

TEAM WIN TOTAL OVER/UNDERS

The professional bettors (sharps) are betting on::
🏈 Patriots Under 8.5
🏈 Seahawks Over 8.5
🏈 Titans Over 6.5

The public is on:
🏈 Bills Over 12.5
🏈 Broncos Over 9.5
🏈 Cardinals Over 6.5
🏈 Chargers Over 9.5
🏈 Commanders Over 9.5
🏈 Cowboys Over 7.5
🏈 Dolphins Under 7.5
🏈 Eagles Under 11.5
🏈 Falcons Over 7.5
🏈 Giants Over 5.5
🏈 Jets Over 6.5
🏈 Packers Over 10.5
🏈 Panthers Over 6.5
🏈 Patriots Over 8.5
🏈 Raiders Over 6.5
🏈 Rams Over 9.5
🏈 Ravens Over 11.5
🏈 Saints Under 4.5
🏈 Seahawks Over 8.5
🏈 Steelers Over 8.5
🏈 Texans Over 9.5
🏈 Vikings Over 9.5

There are no high liabilities. If a team isn’t listed above, then it means it’s mixed.

The only Pros vs. Joes is the Patriots (Pros-Under, Joes-Over).

.MISC INDIVIDUAL MARKETS

There's no other notable sharp action, but liabilities exist on:

OPOY-Ja’Marr Chase (CIN), Bijan Robinson (ATL), Tyree Hill (MIA), Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET), Justin Jefferson (MIN), Breece Hall (NYJ), and Josh Allen (BUF).

DPOY- Aiden Hutchinson (DET) and Joey Bosa (BUF).

OROY- Shedeur Sanders (CLE), Isaac TeSlaa (DET), Tyler Shough (NO) and Cam Skattebo (NYG).

DROY- Carson Schwesinger (CLE), Will Johnson (ARI), and Trey Amos (WAS)

COY- Dan Campbell (DET), Nick Sirianni (PHI) and Aaron Glenn (NYJ).

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